Forecasting the Rates of Future Aftershocks of All Generations Is Essential to Develop Better Earthquake Forecast Models
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- Type
- article
- Published
- 2019-03-17
- Cited by
- 23
- References
- 63
- Access
- Open access
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W2922474243
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:119412144
Keywords
Aftershock, Induced seismicity, Magnitude (astronomy), Earthquake prediction, Sequence (biology)
References
- Simple smoothed seismicity earthquake forecasts for Italy
- Missing links in earthquake clustering models
- Estimation of Space–Time Branching Process Models in Seismology Using an EM–Type Algorithm
- Retrospective evaluation of the five-year and ten-year CSEP-Italy earthquake forecasts
- Setting up an earthquake forecast experiment in Italy
- Earthquake clusters in southern California I: Identification and stability
- Power law distribution of seismic rates: theory and data analysis
- Effect of secondary aftershocks on aftershock decay in the rate- and state-friction model
- New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area, and surface displacement
- Significant improvements of the space-time ETAS model for forecasting of accurate baseline seismicity
- Foreshocks explained by cascades of triggered seismicity
- Diffusion of epicenters of earthquake aftershocks, Omori's law, and generalized continuous-time random walk models.
- Is earthquake triggering driven by small earthquakes?
- Scale-free networks of earthquakes and aftershocks.
- Båth's law derived from the Gutenberg‐Richter law and from aftershock properties
- Operational Earthquake Forecasting: Some Thoughts on Why and How
- Testable Earthquake Forecasts for 1999
- An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes (D. J. Daley and D. Vere-Jones)
- Magnitude uncertainties impact seismic rate estimates, forecasts, and predictability experiments
- Efficient testing of earthquake forecasting models
Cited by
- The Effect of Declustering on the Size Distribution of Mainshocks
- Global models for short-term earthquake forecasting and predictive skill assessment
- Democratizing earthquake predictability research: introducing the RichterX platform
- Metre-scale stress heterogeneities and stress redistribution drive complex fracture slip and fracture growth during a hydraulic stimulation experiment
- Embracing Data Incompleteness for Better Earthquake Forecasting
- Uncovering predictability of individual and team success: Significant Hot Hand Effect in International Cricket
- Significant hot hand effect in the game of cricket
- Are Large Earthquakes Preferentially Triggered by Other Large Events?
- Irregularities in the Intensity of the Flow of Main Events: An Example of the Shallow Seismicity in the Kamchatka Region
- Calibration of a Bayesian spatio-temporal ETAS model to the June 2000 South Iceland seismic sequence
- Seismicity Changes before Major Earthquakes in Sichuan, China, Revealed by a Combination of the RTL Algorithm and ETAS Model
- Question-Driven Ensembles of Flexible ETAS Models
- A New 3-D Error Diagram for a More Balanced Assessment of Binary Alarms for Predicting Earthquakes: Application to TIR Anomalies in Sichuan Area, China
- The Problems of Declustering in the Processing of Seismic Information in the Tauro Caucasus Region
- suiETAS: Developing and Testing ETAS-Based Earthquake Forecasting Models for Switzerland
- Modeling the Asymptotic Behavior of Higher Order Aftershocks with Deep Learning
- Earthquake Predictability and Forecast Evaluation Using Likelihood-Based Marginal and Conditional Scores
- Aftershock analysis and forecasting for the crustal seismicity in Romania
- Forecasting analysis of aftershock sequences in Morocco
- Neural Earthquake Forecasting with Minimal Information: Limits, Interpretability, and the Role of Markov Structure
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