Dampening prey cycle overrides the impact of climate change on predator population dynamics: a long-term demographic study on tawny owls
Explore this paper's citation graph
Summary
It is found that dampened prey cycles would drive the authors' owl local population towards extinction, with winter climate regimes only altering persistence time, and that other vole‐eating predators are likely to be threatened by dampening vole cycles throughout Europe.
- Type
- article
- Published
- 2014-03-14
- Cited by
- 61
- References
- 66
- Access
- Open access
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W1993849168
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:15089053
Keywords
Vole, Predation, Trophic level, Ecology, Population cycle
References
- Age, sex, density, winter weather, and population crashes in Soay sheep.
- Stochastic Population Dynamics in Ecology and Conservation
- Population dynamics in a cyclic environment: consequences of cyclic food abundance on tawny owl reproduction and survival.
- Ecosystem consequences of wolf behavioural response to climate
- Natal conditions alter age-specific reproduction but not survival or senescence in a long-lived bird of prey.
- Matrix Population Models: Construction, Analysis, and Interpretation
- Nonstationary spatio-temporal small rodent dynamics: evidence from long-term Norwegian fox bounty data.
- The North Atlantic Oscillation: Past, present, and future
- Stochastic demography and population dynamics in the red kangaroo Macropus rufus.
- Spatial synchrony in field vole Microtus agrestis abundance in a coniferous forest in northern England: The role of vole-eating raptors
- Demographic responses of a site-faithful and territorial predator to its fluctuating prey: long-tailed skuas and arctic lemmings.
- Collapsing population cycles.
- Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the decline of an emperor penguin population
- Effects of climate change and variability on population dynamics in a long-lived shorebird.
- Fading out of vole and predator cycles?
- When can environmental variability benefit population growth? Counterintuitive effects of nonlinearities in vital rates.
- Patterns of variance in stage-structured populations: evolutionary predictions and ecological implications.
- Why large-scale climate indices seem to predict ecological processes better than local weather
- Diet of tawny owls (Strix aluco) in relation to field vole (Microtus agrestis) abundance in a conifer forest in northern England
- Natural Selection for Variances in Offspring Numbers: A New Evolutionary Principle
Cited by
- Coping with fast climate change in northern ecosystems: mechanisms underlying the population-level response of a specialist avian predator
- Age and sex-selective predation moderate the overall impact of predators.
- The cascading impacts of livestock grazing in upland ecosystems : a 10-year experiment
- The effects of habitat, climate, and Barred Owls on long-term demography of Northern Spotted Owls
- Biological interactions in the boreal ecosystem under climate change : are the vole and predator cycles disappearing?
- The impact of increasing predation risk and declining food availability on the population dynamics and demography of a long-lived mesopredator
- Food availability and predation risk, rather than intrinsic attributes, are the main factors shaping the reproductive decisions of a long-lived predator.
- The impact of weather and the phase of the rodent cycle on breeding populations of waterbirds in Finnish Lapland
- Food abundance and weather modify reproduction of two arboreal squirrel species
- Roles of Raptors in a Changing World: From Flagships to Providers of Key Ecosystem Services
- Length of the recovery period after extreme flood is more important than flood magnitude in influencing reproductive output of Brown Dippers (Cinclus pallasii) in Taiwan
- The broad footprint of climate change from genes to biomes to people
- Moving forward in circles: challenges and opportunities in modelling population cycles.
- Density‐dependent increase in superpredation linked to food limitation in a recovering population of northern goshawks Accipiter gentilis
- Bird populations in a changing world: implications for North European conservation
- Long-term field studies on rodents
- Exploring the impact of common buzzard Buteo buteo predation on red grouse Lagopus lagopus scotica
- The effect of rainfall on population dynamics in Sahara-Sahel rodents
- BirdTrends 2014: trends in numbers, breeding success and survival for UK breeding birds
- Voles and weasels in the boreal Fennoscandian small mammal community: what happens if the least weasel disappears due to climate change?
Related papers
- Population dynamics of the collared lemming and the tundra vole at Pearce Point, Northwest Territories, Canada
- Fading out of vole and predator cycles?
- Dynamic effects of predators on cyclic voles: field experimentation and model extrapolation
- Incorporating anthropogenic effects into trophic ecology: predator–prey interactions in a human-dominated landscape
- Numerical response of small mustelids to vole abundance: delayed or not?
- Determinants of lemming outbreaks
- Predator–vole interactions in northern Europe: the role of small mustelids revised
- Seasonal changes in the numerical responses of predators to cyclic vole populations
- Population dynamics of microtine rodents: an experimental test of the predation hypothesis
- Are silica defences in grasses driving vole population cycles?