On the Predictability of Future Impact in Science
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Summary
By applying a future impact model to 762 careers drawn from three disciplines: physics, biology, and mathematics, this work identifies a number of subtle, but critical, flaws in current models.
- Type
- article
- Published
- 2013-06-01
- Cited by
- 125
- References
- 46
- Access
- Open access
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W1981328197
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:15200275
Keywords
Predictability, Predictive power, Predictive modelling, Key (lock), Impact assessment
References
- IL-13受体α2降低血吸虫病肉芽肿的炎症反应并延长宿主存活时间[英]/Mentink-Kane MM,Cheever AW,Thompson RW,et al//Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
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- Universality of citation distributions: Toward an objective measure of scientific impact
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- Science faculty’s subtle gender biases favor male students
- Structural Determinants of Stratification in Science
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