South African stock return predictability in the context data mining : the role of financial variables and international stock returns
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Summary
The general-to-specific model shows that valuation ratios contain very useful information that explains the behaviour of stock returns, despite their inability to predict stock return at any horizon.
- Type
- article
- Published
- 2012-05-01
- Cited by
- 45
- References
- 38
- Access
- Open access
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W1969584773
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:53990005
Keywords
Predictive power, Predictability, Econometrics, Stock (firearms), Sample (material)
References
- Exchange Rates and Monetary Fundamentals: What Do We Learn from Long-Horizon Regressions?
- Bubbles in House Prices and their Impact on Consumption: Evidence for the US
- Resurrecting the Wealth Effect on Consumption: Further Analysis and Extension
- Consumption asymmetry and the stock market: New evidence through a threshold adjustment model
- Bubbles in South African house prices and their impact on consumption
- Consumption asymmetry and the stock market: Empirical evidence
- Asymptotic Inference about Predictive Ability
- Consumption Asymmetry and the Stock Market: Further Evidence
- Tests for Forecast Encompassing
- In-Sample or Out-of-Sample Tests of Predictability: Which One Should We Use?
- Predictable Stock Returns: The Role of Small Sample Bias
- Macro variables and international stock return predictability
- FORECASTING ECONOMIC TIME SERIES
- Can Out-of-Sample Forecast Comparisons Help Prevent Overfitting?
- Forecasting Economic Time Series
- Earnings and Expected Returns
- Understanding Trend and Cycle in Asset Values: Reevaluating the Wealth Effect on Consumption
- Forecasting Output and Inflation: The Role of Asset Prices
- Tests of Equal Forecast Accuracy and Encompassing for Nested Models
- Stock Return Predictability: Is it There?
Cited by
- Essays on determinants spillovers and predictability of the South African stock returns
- Financial variables and the out-of-sample forecastability of the growth rate of indian industrial production
- Stock return predictability in South Africa: The role of major developed markets
- Detecting biotechnology industry's earnings management using Bayesian network, principal component analysis, back propagation neural network, and decision tree
- Can Economic Uncertainty, Financial Stress and Consumer Sentiments Predict U.S. Equity Premium?
- An ensemble-based model for two-class imbalanced financial problem
- Predicting BRICS stock returns using ARFIMA models
- Macroeconomic Variables and South African Stock Return Predictability
- Structural breaks and GARCH models of stock return volatility: The case of South Africa
- Synchronicity in international stock markets: evidence from USA-South Africa
- PREDICTING FUTURE STOCK RETURNS AT SHORT AND LONG HORIZONS
- Forecasting Stock Market Returns Via Monte Carlo Simulation : The Case of Amman Stock Exchange
- Valuation Ratios and Stock Return Predictability in South Africa: Is It There?
- Does Financial News Predict Stock Returns? New Evidence from Islamic and Non-Islamic Stocks
- International stock return predictability: Is the role of U.S. time-varying?
- Stock return predictability and determinants of predictability and profits
- South African Stock Returns Predictability using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from a Nonparametric Causality-in-Quantiles Approach
- Predicting South African Equity Premium using Domestic and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Indices: Evidence from a Bayesian Graphical Model
- Evaluating the combined forecasts of the dynamic factor model and the artificial neural network model using linear and nonlinear combining methods
- Essays on the Currency Effect on Stock Market Relationships and Stock Return Forecast
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