Bayesian estimation of the Gaussian mixture GARCH model
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Summary
Bayesian inference and prediction for a generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) model where the innovations are assumed to follow a mixture of two Gaussian distributions is performed providing point estimates and predictive intervals.
- Type
- article
- Published
- 2007-02-01
- Cited by
- 76
- References
- 37
- Access
- Open access
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W1966908276
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:7306674
Keywords
Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Gibbs sampling, Volatility clustering, Autoregressive model, Financial models with long-tailed distributions and volatility clustering
References
- Estimation of Finite Mixture Distributions Through Bayesian Sampling
- Semiparametric ARCH models
- Adaptive Polar Sampling With An Application To A Bayes Measure Of Value-At-Risk
- Bayesian Inference on GARCH Models Using the Gibbs Sampler
- Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk
- Bayesian comparison of econometric models
- ARCH modeling in finance: A review of the theory and empirical evidence
- Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation
- Comparing probabilistic methods for outlier detection in linear models
- A bayesian approach to some outlier problems.
- A CONDITIONALLY HETEROSKEDASTIC TIME SERIES MODEL FOR SPECULATIVE PRICES AND RATES OF RETURN
- Comparing stochastic volatility models through Monte Carlo simulations
- CONDITIONAL HETEROSKEDASTICITY IN ASSET RETURNS: A NEW APPROACH
- Bayesian option pricing using asymmetric GARCH models
- Bayesian analysis of ARMA–GARCH models: A Markov chain sampling approach
- Facilitating the Gibbs Sampler: The Gibbs Stopper and the Griddy-Gibbs Sampler
- Kurtosis of GARCH and stochastic volatility models with non-normal innovations
- Semiparametric ARCH Models
- Full Bayesian Inference for GARCH and EGARCH Models
- Exact predictive densities for linear models with arch disturbances
Cited by
- Bayesian estimation of a dynamic conditional correlation model with multivariate Skew-Slash innovations
- The Applications of Mixtures of Normal Distributions in Empirical Finance: A Selected Survey
- A new approach to calculate and forecast dynamic conditional correlation : the use of a multivariate heteroskedastic mixture model
- Evaluating asymmetric effect in skewness and kurtosis
- COMPLETE BAYESIAN ANALYSIS OF SOME MIXTURE TIME SERIES MODELS
- Stochastic models with heteroskedasticity: a Bayesian approach for Ibovespa returns
- Bayesian analysis of heavy-tailed market microstructure model and its application in stock markets
- Chasing Volatility: A Persistent Multiplicative Error Model with Jumps
- Modelling the Covariance Dynamics of Multivariate Financial Time Series
- Evaluating the performance of the skewed distributions to forecast Value at Risk in the Global Financial Crisis
- Modelagem de volatilidade via modelos GARCH com erros assimétricos: abordagem Bayesiana
- Inference for Box–Cox Transformed Threshold GARCH Models with Nuisance Parameters
- Bayesian option pricing using mixed normal heteroskedasticity models
- A Class of Adaptive EM-Based Importance Sampling Algorithms for Efficient and Robust Posterior and Predictive Simulation
- A Bayesian non-parametric approach to asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation model with application to portfolio selection
- Value-at-risk forecasting based on Gaussian mixture ARMA–GARCH model
- Heavy-tailed mixture GARCH volatility modeling and Value-at-Risk estimation
- A semiparametric Bayesian approach to the analysis of financial time series with applications to value at risk estimation
- A new algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation in normal scale-mixture generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models
- Mixture periodic autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models
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