Whole range and regional‐based ecological niche models predict differing exposure to 21st century climate change in the key cool temperate rainforest tree southern beech (Nothofagus cunninghamii)
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Summary
The stability of this species climate envelope is modelled using the maximum entropy algorithm implemented in Maxent and two thresholds of presence/absence by projecting the modern climate envelope onto four Global Circulation Models forecasted for two time periods (2050s and 2070s).
- Type
- article
- Published
- 2015-04-01
- Cited by
- 18
- References
- 45
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W1786089703
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:84053482
Keywords
Climate change, Ecology, Range (aeronautics), Beech, Rainforest
References
- Seedfall and germination of Nothofagus cunninghamii (Hook.) Oerst., Eucryphia lucida (Labill.) Baill and Atherosperma moschatum Labill. Implications for regeneration practice.
- The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM5 Part II: Sensitivity of simulated climate to horizontal and vertical resolution
- A biogeographic model of fire regimes in Australia: current and future implications
- A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists
- Generalizing the Convex Hull of a Sample: The R Package alphahull
- Earlier springs decrease peak summer productivity in North American boreal forests
- Carbon-14 Dates from the Snowy Mountains area, Southeastern Australia, and their Interpretation
- Leaf hydraulic vulnerability is related to conduit dimensions and drought resistance across a diverse range of woody angiosperms.
- Landscape-scale assessment of tree crown dieback following extreme drought and heat in a Mediterranean eucalypt forest ecosystem
- A Vegetation History and Quantitative Estimate of Holocene Climate from Chapple Vale, in the Otway Region of Victoria, Australia
- Predicting suitable environments and potential occurrences for coelacanths (Latimeria spp.)
- The crucial role of the accessible area in ecological niche modeling and species distribution modeling
- Colonisation of clearfelled coupes by rainforest tree species from mature mixed forest edges, Tasmania, Australia
- Too wet for oaks? Inter-tree competition and recent persistent wetness predispose oaks to rainfall-induced dieback in Atlantic rainy forest
- Disregarding topographical heterogeneity biases species turnover assessments based on bioclimatic models
- Climate Change Risks and Conservation Implications for a Threatened Small-Range Mammal Species
- A Reconstruction of Regional and Global Temperature for the Past 11,300 Years
- New approaches to understanding late Quaternary climate fluctuations and refugial dynamics in Australian wet tropical rain forests
- Potential distribution of emerald ash borer: What can we learn from ecological niche models using Maxent and GARP?
- The roles of hydraulic and carbon stress in a widespread climate-induced forest die-off
Cited by
- Why we should retain Nothofagus sensu lato
- Genetic differentiation in spite of high gene flow in the dominant rainforest tree of southeastern Australia, Nothofagus cunninghamii
- Floristic response to landscape context in vascular plant communities in Eucalyptus obliqua and Eucalyptus regnans wet forest, southern Tasmania
- Integrating genetics and suitability modelling to bolster climate change adaptation planning in Patagonian Nothofagus forests
- Fine-scale species distribution modelling and genotyping by sequencing to examine hybridisation between two narrow endemic plant species
- MaxEnt Modeling for Predicting the Current and Future Potential Geographical Distribution of Quercus libani Olivier
- Climate more important than soils for predicting forest biomass at the continental scale
- Predicting the current and future potential spatial distribution of endangered Rucervus eldii eldii (Sangai) using MaxEnt model
- Predicting Possible Distribution of Tea (Camellia sinensis L.) under Climate Change Scenarios Using MaxEnt Model in China
- Climate change threatens striped hyena (Hyaena hyaena) distribution in Nepal
- Low‐elevation warm‐edge Fagus crenata populations in the core of the species range are glacial relicts with high conservation value
- Impact of climate change on distribution of common leopard (Panthera pardus) and its implication on conservation and conflict in Nepal
- Modeling of current and future distributions of Camellia sinensis in Türkiye under climate change
- Range reshuffling: Climate change, invasive species, and the case of Nothofagus forests in Aotearoa New Zealand
- Seasonal and long-term climate drivers of tree species phenology and litterfall in a Nothofagus cool temperate rainforest of Australia
- Forecasting of Grasslands Distribution on Mount Zireia Using Ecological Niche Modeling and Future Climatic Scenarios
- Advancements in ecological niche models for forest adaptation to climate change: a comprehensive review
- Distribution and Habitat Suitability of the Malabar Slender Loris (Loris lydekkerianus malabaricus) in the Aralam Wildlife Sanctuary, India
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