Prediction of Indian Summer-Monsoon Onset Variability: A Season in Advance
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Summary
It is shown that the skillful prediction of onset variability is feasible under seasonal prediction framework and the changes observed in convection, tropospheric circulation and moisture availability prior to and after the onset are evidenced in model simulations, which resulted in high hit rate of early/delay in monsoon onset in the high resolution model.
- Type
- article
- Published
- 2017-10-27
- Cited by
- 57
- References
- 66
- Access
- Open access
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W2766726903
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:33828045
Keywords
Monsoon, Climatology, Teleconnection, Forcing (mathematics), Monsoon of South Asia
References
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- Tracking magma dynamics by laser ablation (LA)‐ICPMS trace element analysis of glass in volcanic ash: The 1995 activity of Mt. Etna
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- The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) combined precipitation dataset
- On the relationship between Indian summer monsoon withdrawal and Indo-Pacific SST anomalies before and after 1976/1977 climate shift
- Comparison of definitions of Indian summer monsoon onset: Better representation of rapid transitions of atmospheric conditions
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- Is an onset vortex important for monsoon onset over Kerala?
Cited by
- Tipping elements of the Indian monsoon: Prediction of onset and withdrawal
- An Improved Prediction of Indian Summer Monsoon Onset From State‐of‐the‐Art Dynamic Model Using Physics‐Guided Data‐Driven Approach
- Science Directions in a Post COP21 World of Transient Climate Change: Enabling Regional to Local Predictions in Support of Reliable Climate Information
- Seasonal Forecasting of Onset of Summer Rains over South Africa
- How to predict seasonal weather and monsoons with radionuclide monitoring
- Detection, variability, and predictability of monsoon onset and withdrawal dates: A review
- The role of surface air temperature over the east Asia on the early and late Indian Summer Monsoon Onset over Kerala
- Impact of convective parameterization on the seasonal prediction skill of Indian summer monsoon
- Indian Monsoons Variability and Extreme Weather Events: Recent Improvements in Observations and Modelling
- Climatology of landfalling atmospheric Rivers and associated heavy precipitation over the Indian coastal regions
- Intensification of the East Asian summer monsoon lifecycle based on observation and CMIP6
- Distinct atmosphere-ocean coupling processes on the onset phase of Indian summer monsoon during 2017 and 2018 as revealed through SCATSAT-1 and its comparison with CFSv2
- Role of Regional Parameters in Inter-annual Variation of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall
- Value addition to forecasting: towards Kharif rice crop predictability through local climate variations associated with Indo-Pacific climate drivers
- Seasonal climate influences on the timing of the Australian monsoon onset
- Summertime variability of Mediterranean evaporation: competing impacts from the mid latitudes teleconnections and the South Asian monsoon
- Weather forecasting in India: Recent developments
- Comparison of MMCFS and SINTEX‐F2 for seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall
- Seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon in India: The past, the present and the future
- Prediction of Indian summer monsoon onset with high resolution model: a case study
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