Competing Failure Risk Analysis Using Evidence Theory
Explore this paper's citation graph
Summary
This presentation investigates and illustrates formal procedures for assessing the uncertainty in the probability that a safety system will fail to operate as intended in an accident environment and suggests that evidence theory provides a potentially valuable representational tool for the display of the implications of significant epistemic uncertainty in inputs to complex analyses.
- Type
- article
- Published
- 2005-08-01
- Cited by
- 44
- References
- 86
- Access
- Open access
- OpenAlex
- https://openalex.org/W2126987732
- Semantic Scholar
- https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:40059996
Keywords
Context (archaeology), Representation (politics), Probability theory, Computer science, Risk analysis (engineering)
References
- The anatomy of the squizzel: The role of operational definitions in representing uncertainty
- Markov Chain Monte-Carlo Algorithms for the Calculation of Dempster-Shafer Belief
- A Mathematical Theory of Hints
- On the fundamentals of fuzzy sets.
- Probabilistic Risk Analysis
- Probabilistic Techniques in Exposure Assessment: A Handbook for Dealing with Variability and Uncertainty in Models and Inputs
- Reliability and Safety Analyses under Fuzziness
- Representing Uncertain Knowledge: An Artificial Intelligence Aproach
- Scoring rules and the inevitability of probability
- A Mathematical Theory of Hints: An Approach to the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence
- Evidence Theory and Its Applications
- Self-Conditional Probabilities and Probabilistic Interpretations of Belief Functions
- Review of Saltelli, A. & Chan, K. & E.M.Scott (Eds) (2000), Sensitivity analysis. Wiley (2000)
- Methods and applications of interval analysis
- Probabilistic analysis of belief functions
- A possibilistic hierarchical model for behaviour under uncertainty
- On Measuring Uncertainty and Uncertainty-Based Information: Recent Developments
- Fuzzy Set Theory: Foundations and Applications
- Uncertainty-based information: Elements of generalized information theory (studies in fuzziness and soft computing).
- Combination of Evidence in Dempster-Shafer Theory
Cited by
- Non deteriministic planning with evidence and paradoxical reasoning theories
- Verification and Validation in Scientific Computing
- Forecasting of isothermal enhanced oil recovery (EOR) and waterflood processes
- Quantification of margins and uncertainties: Alternative representations of epistemic uncertainty
- A sampling-based computational strategy for the representation of epistemic uncertainty in model predictions with evidence theory
- Quantification of model-form and parametric uncertainty using evidence theory
- Sensitivity analysis in conjunction with evidence theory representations of epistemic uncertainty
- Probability of loss of assured safety in temperature dependent systems with multiple weak and strong links
- Application and variance based sensitivity analysis of surfactant-polymer flooding using modified chemical flood predictive model
- A non-deterministic planner for planetary rover autonomy
- The impact of reliability data on probabilistic safety calculations
- Probabilistic bounding analysis in the Quantification of Margins and Uncertainties
- Identification of influential parameters through sensitivity analysis of the TOUGH + Hydrate model using LH-OAT sampling
- Coupled hydro-mechanical fault reactivation analysis incorporating evidence theory for uncertainty quantification
- Verification test problems for the calculation of probability of loss of assured safety in temperature-dependent systems with multiple weak and strong links
- Quantification of margins and mixed uncertainties using evidence theory and stochastic expansions
- A Systems‐Based Approach for Supporting Discourse in Decision Making
- Sensitivity in risk analyses with uncertain numbers.
- Projecting uncertainty through black boxes
- Quantification of Multiple Types of Uncertainty in Physics-Based Simulation
Related papers
- The study of the relationship between theory of mathematical analysis and probability
- A Course on Elementary Probability Theory
- Uncertainty Analysis With Probability and Evidence Theories
- Comparison among Methods of Modeling Epistemic Uncertainty in Reliability Estimation
- Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in groundwater flow and transport simulation
- A course of Elementary Probability Course
- Epistemic uncertainty quantification techniques including evidence theory for large-scale structures